On Sunday, September 17 at 1:00 PM ET, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face the Chicago Bears at Raymond James Stadium. Our computer model projects that the Buccaneers will claim a victory -- see below for more info, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

The Buccaneers ranked 25th in scoring offense (18.4 points per game) and 13th in scoring defense (21.1 points allowed per game) last season. With 27.2 points allowed per game on defense, which ranked worst in the NFL last season, the Bears had to rely on their 23rd-ranked offense (19.2 points per contest) to keep them competitive.

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Bears vs. Buccaneers Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Buccaneers (-2.5) Over (40.5) Buccaneers 29, Bears 19

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Bears Betting Info

  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Bears.
  • Chicago won five games against the spread last season, failing to cover or pushing 11 times.
  • The Bears covered the spread five times last season (5-9 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point underdogs.
  • Chicago and its opponent combined to hit the over 10 out of 17 times last season.
  • Last season, Bears games resulted in an average scoring total of 43, which is 2.5 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Buccaneers Betting Info

  • Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Buccaneers have an implied win probability of 59.2%.
  • Tampa Bay put together a 4-12-1 ATS record last year.
  • The Buccaneers were favored by 2.5 points or more 12 times last season, and covered the spread in four of those contests.
  • A total of six Tampa Bay games last season went over the point total.
  • The point total average for Buccaneers games last season was 43.4, 2.9 more points than the over/under for this matchup.

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Bears vs. Buccaneers 2022 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Tampa Bay 18.4 21.1 21.4 22.2 15 19.8
Chicago 19.2 27.2 19.6 25 18.8 29.8

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